It’s no longer a hard-set requirement in the minds of MVP voters that a player’s team must make the playoffs for him to qualify for the award. Let’s bring Turner and Tatís back in here for a minute. Sometimes, there are things out of their control that can affect an MVP race… The competitive team argument The second-half numbers were both historic with the edge going to Harper for the power he showed down the stretch.īut it’s not always just about the player. Harper didn’t appear in as many high-leverage spots as Soto, but he reached base more often when he did. If the Phillies were down to their last out in an inning, it was Harper coming through. When the Nationals needed runs driven in, Soto was their guy. Below are four situations that teams rely on their best hitters to succeed in.
#JUAN SOTO VS BRYCE HARPER STATS FULL#
Moving forward with just Soto and Harper, let’s put some of these numbers into context… The situational argumentĪs good as a player can be over the course of a full season, what separates MVPs from other superstars is how often they come through in key situations. Meanwhile, Tatís’s defensive shortcomings are blatant and he still finds himself no higher than third place in any of the above statistics. With speed as his best asset, Turner was always going to face long odds at winning these categories. It’s clear from these numbers that Harper and Soto were the two best hitters of the group. Turner’s work at shortstop also gets some love from UZR. Soto once again shows that his plate discipline is unmatched while DRS picks him as the top fielder. Harper comes out on top as the best all-around hitter, taking a sizable lead in OPS and pacing the NL in both normalized statistics OPS+ and wRC+ that each take park factors into account. Here is where we start to see some separation. Hint - Most of these numbers fall under the “Excellent” category. Not going to preface these numbers other than to say if the stats below look like a bunch of jargon and you want to learn more, the FanGraphs Library is a tremendous resource that breaks down each statistic and shows what the average player puts up compared to superstars. There are plenty of other advanced statistics that paint a better picture, for example… The sabermetric argument It’s also important to note that a 0.1 difference in WAR or even a 0.5 difference isn’t that much and shouldn’t be used to make the case for one player over another. FanGraphs favors Turner and Harper while Baseball-Reference pegs Soto and Tatís as the more valuable players. Not only is there not one player leading both types of WAR, but there’s also no player in the top two (between these four players) for each formula.
Soto: 6.5 fWAR (FanGraphs), 7.0 bWAR (Baseball-Reference) It’s not a perfect statistic - as evidenced by the fact that there’s more than one formula for it - but it does give a sense of which players deserve to be in the running. Wins Above Replacement is an attempt to measure how valuable a player is by using both their offense and their defense to come up with one number that reflects their overall contributions. The word “value” is in the name MVP, which makes it impossible to talk about this race without discussing the all-encompassing WAR statistic.
However, some statistics are better than others, which brings us to… The WAR argument If all these categories were created equal, Soto and Turner would be the runaway favorites in contention for the award. In summary, Soto was the on-base machine, Harper showcased his rare blend of power and plate discipline, Turner built his game around speed and contact and Tatís was the home run king. 282/.365/.611, 42 HR, 97 RBI, 99 R, 135 H, 31 2B, 0 3B, 25 SB, 62 BB, 153 SOīold indicates the player led this quartet in each particular category. But before diving into the sabermetrics, it’s important to first look at the traditional stats and see who passes the eye test. MVP races nearly always come down to the numbers and that’s never been more true than the statistic-driven era MLB finds itself in today. How does scoring work in the MLB Home Run Derby?
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